Our sources say the Irish Government worries it has overplayed its hand on Brexit. And because of the political situation in Ireland, Leo Varadkar does not want to take the blame for that.
Instead, if Ireland finds itself in a tricky spot, it will say to the other EU26 “you broke it, so you fix it”.
That means that the new UK Prime Minister might make a bee line for Dublin, but it could be a wasted trip – not because the Irish are unwilling to change, but because they need the cover of Brussels forcing them to do it.
For detailed political analysis, please email GUIDE's Chief Executive on greig@theguideconsultancy.com